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18 Feb 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.3%
Ponferradina
25.4%
Draw
51.3%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Ponferradina

vs
1.54

Levante

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).