Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Caen
22.8%
Draw
39.1%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Caen
vs
1.47
Amiens
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
0-1
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).