Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Lazio
24.9%
Draw
14.9%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Lazio
vs
0.62
Spezia
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
2-0
13.7%
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).