Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
AFC Wimbledon
26.2%
Draw
15.5%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.58
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS33.0%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.6%
2-0
13.7%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
10.7%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).