Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Needham Market
22.3%
Draw
23.6%
Witham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Needham Market
vs
1.12
Witham Town
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).