Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.0%
York
16.5%
Draw
9.5%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
York
vs
0.85
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
1-1
7.7%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).