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AHT: 23CSV

22 Oct 2023 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.8%
Heidenheim
29.0%
Draw
46.3%
Augsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Heidenheim

vs
1.39

Augsburg

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).