Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Paris FC
18.9%
Draw
19.4%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Paris FC
vs
1.08
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.7%
4-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).