Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Dynamo Makhachkala
37.5%
Draw
30.7%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Dynamo Makhachkala
vs
0.83
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.579.7%
Over 1.551.5%
Over 2.523.6%
Over 3.58.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.3%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.3%
0-1
13.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-0
1.9%
0-3
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).