Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Coventry
19.3%
Draw
11.2%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Coventry
vs
0.81
Luton
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).