Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Salernitana
25.8%
Draw
33.8%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Salernitana
vs
1.24
Verona
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).