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31 May 2025 · 16:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.2%
Tromsø
17.2%
Draw
13.6%
Vålerenga

Expected Goals (xG)

2.41

Tromsø

vs
0.98

Vålerenga

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
3-0
7.9%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
4-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).