Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Pisa
28.7%
Draw
31.4%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Pisa
vs
1.22
Parma
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).