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23 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
Accrington
28.1%
Draw
36.4%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Accrington

vs
1.10

Walsall

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).