Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Sociedad
19.2%
Draw
17.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Sociedad
vs
1.17
Almeria
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
4-1
4.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-0
3.8%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).