Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
St Etienne
19.9%
Draw
52.1%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
St Etienne
vs
2.13
Lorient
Markets
BTTS68.2%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
3-2
3.4%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).