Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Valenciennes
22.6%
Draw
59.9%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Valenciennes
vs
1.64
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).