Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.4%
Metz
13.8%
Draw
76.8%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Metz
vs
2.65
Lens
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.0%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
1-3
7.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-1
6.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-5
3.4%
2-3
3.2%
1-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).