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DHT: 10CSV

24 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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83.8%
Celtic
11.1%
Draw
5.0%
Ross County

Expected Goals (xG)

3.04

Celtic

vs
0.67

Ross County

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
4-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-0
5.3%
1-1
5.2%
5-1
3.6%
0-0
2.7%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).