Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Regensburg
31.5%
Draw
33.6%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Regensburg
vs
1.10
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).