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30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.2%
Trafford
23.2%
Draw
25.6%
Stockton Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Trafford

vs
1.13

Stockton Town

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).