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AHT: 11

02 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Bury

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Braintree Town
21.9%
Draw
55.6%
Bury

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Braintree Town

vs
1.86

Bury

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
2-3
3.4%
2-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).