Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Ross County
25.2%
Draw
30.1%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Ross County
vs
1.32
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).