⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 10CSV

09 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
47.9%
Eastleigh
29.9%
Draw
22.2%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Eastleigh

vs
0.85

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).