Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Villarreal
23.8%
Draw
24.4%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Villarreal
vs
1.16
Celta
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).