Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Boavista
27.5%
Draw
45.4%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Boavista
vs
1.27
Aves
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).