Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Norwich
29.3%
Draw
25.3%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Norwich
vs
0.97
Stoke
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).