Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Lecce
30.6%
Draw
27.4%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Lecce
vs
0.83
Pisa
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).