Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Modena
32.4%
Draw
37.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Modena
vs
1.12
Monza
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).