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AHT: 01CSV

28 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Genk
23.0%
Draw
48.8%
Club Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Genk

vs
1.95

Club Brugge

Markets

BTTS66.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
2-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).