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DHT: 20CSV

19 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.7%
Celtic
14.8%
Draw
7.5%
Aberdeen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.65

Celtic

vs
0.73

Aberdeen

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.9%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
3.8%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).