Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Lecce
30.0%
Draw
24.3%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Lecce
vs
0.77
Verona
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).