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DHT: 11CSV

10 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Torino

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.1%
Sassuolo
23.9%
Draw
28.0%
Torino

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Sassuolo

vs
1.21

Torino

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).