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28 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.0%
Sheffield United
26.3%
Draw
19.6%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Sheffield United

vs
0.91

Preston

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).