Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.4%
Sandefjord
18.9%
Draw
17.7%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Sandefjord
vs
1.13
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.566.5%
Over 3.544.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
1-1
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).