Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Fulham
27.2%
Draw
41.9%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Fulham
vs
1.51
Leeds
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).