Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Fleetwood Town
27.2%
Draw
38.7%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.20
Colchester
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).