Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Ath Bilbao
26.1%
Draw
29.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.16
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).