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30 Jul 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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95.8%
Bodø / Glimt
3.0%
Draw
1.2%
Strømsgodset

Expected Goals (xG)

4.95

Bodø / Glimt

vs
0.65

Strømsgodset

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.597.5%
Over 2.591.7%
Over 3.580.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-0
9.3%
5-0
9.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-1
6.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
2-1
3.0%
4-2
2.0%
5-2
2.0%
1-0
1.9%
3-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).