Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.5%
Lyon
9.2%
Draw
3.3%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
Lyon
vs
0.38
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS29.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.1%
3-0
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
4-0
10.8%
2-1
6.2%
5-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
1-1
4.1%
0-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
0-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).