Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Nice
21.9%
Draw
46.1%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Nice
vs
1.77
Monaco
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).