Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Milton Keynes Dons
24.2%
Draw
26.7%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.08
Crewe
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).