Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
St Pauli
25.9%
Draw
17.5%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
St Pauli
vs
0.86
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).