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05 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Sochi
25.6%
Draw
51.3%
Rubin Kazan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Sochi

vs
1.81

Rubin Kazan

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).