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30 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.2%
Sutton
25.5%
Draw
23.3%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Sutton

vs
1.12

Fylde

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).