Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.7%
Spezia
28.1%
Draw
51.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Spezia
vs
1.54
Monza
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.3%
0-2
10.4%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).