Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Albacete
28.8%
Draw
29.7%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Albacete
vs
0.97
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).