Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Accrington
31.1%
Draw
37.0%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Accrington
vs
0.98
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.555.0%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
0-0
15.0%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).