Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Famalicao
26.2%
Draw
22.0%
Setubal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Famalicao
vs
0.81
Setubal
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).