Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Hannover
26.6%
Draw
35.4%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Hannover
vs
1.46
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
6.7%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).